Showing posts with label Probability Chapter 5. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Probability Chapter 5. Show all posts

Thursday, 25 June 2020

Continuous Random Variable and Expectation

Continuous Random variable and Probability Density Function: A random variable X with $F_X(.)$ as distribution function, is called continuous if there exists a function such that $f_X(.):R \rightarrow [0,1]$ such that $$F_X(x)=\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}f_X(t)dt~~ for~ all~ x\in R  ....(1)$$

The function $f_X(.)$ or $f(x)$ is called the probability density function (p.d.f) of C or simply density funtion of $X$. From the relation (1), we observe that $f_X(x)=\frac{dF_X(x)}{dx}$

Properties of p.d.f.:

  1. $f(X)\geq 0$ for all $x \in R$
  2. $\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} f(x) dx=1$
  3. $P[a< x \leq b]=\int_a^b f(0) dx, $ for $a<b.

Various measures of central tendency, dispersion, moments and expected value:

Let $X$ be a random variable with density function $f_X(x).$

    1. Mean of $X$, denoted by $\mu_x$ or $E(X)$, is defined as:

        $\mu_x$ or $E(X)=\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} xf_X(x) dx.$ ($X$ is a continuous random variable)

        Similarly, $E(X^2)=\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} x^2 f_X(x)dx$

        If $X$ is a discrete random variable with mass points $x_1, x_2,...., x_n,...;$ then

        $\mu_x$ or $E(X)=\sum_{i=1}^{\infty} x_i f_X(x_i)$

     2. Variance of $X$ denoted by $\sigma_x^2$ or $var[X],$ is defined as 

        $\sigma_X^2$ or $var[X]=\inf_{-\infty}^{\infty}(x-\mu_x)^2f_X(x) dx$  ($X$ is a continuous random variable and $\mu_x$ is the mean)

        If $X$ is discrete random variable with mass points $x_1, x_2, ....x_n,.....;$ then

        $\sigma_X^2$ or $var[X]=\sum_{i=1}^{\infty}(x_i -\mu_x)^2 f_X(x_i).$

         Also $var[X]=E[X^2]-{E(X)}^2$. This is useful formula to determine $var[X]$

    3. Standard deviation of $X$, denoted by $\sigma_x$ is defined as $\sigma_x =+\sqrt{Var[X]}$

    4. Median (M) of a continuous random variable $X$ is given by the relation

        $\int_{-\infty}^M f(x)dx=\frac{1}{2}=\int_M^{\infty} f(x) dx$

    5. Mean deviation about the mean $\mu_x$ is defined as M.D. $=\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} |x-\mu_x|f_X(x)dx$

    6. The first and third quartiles, denoted by $Q_1$ and $Q_3$ respectively are given by

$$\int_{-\infty}^{Q_1}f(x)dx=\frac{1}{4}~and~\int_{-\infty}^{Q_2} f(x)dx=\frac{3}{4}$$

    7. Mode is the value of $X$ for which $f(x)$ is maximum. The modal value of $x$ is given by the relations:

$$f_x^{'}=0~ and~ f_X^{''}<0.$$

    8. The expectation or expected value of the function $g(x)$ of a rand om variable $X$ with $f_X(x)$as p.d.f., denoted by $E[g(X)]$, is defined as:

            i) $E[g(X)]=\sum_{n=1}^{\infty} g(x_n)f_X(x_n)$, where $X$ is discrete random variable with mass points $x_i, x_2,...., x_n,.......;(provided the series is absolutely convergent)$.

            ii) $E[g(x)=\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} g(x)f_X(x)dx$, where $X$ is a continuous random variable (provided $\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} |g(x)|f_x(x)dx < \infty$).

Properties of Expectation:

  1. $E[c]=c$, c being a constant.
  2. $E[c.g(x)]=c.E[g(x)],$ c being a constant.
  3. $E[c_1.g_1(x)+c_2.g_2(x)]=c_1.E[g_1(x)+c_2.E[g_2(x)],$ here $c_1$ and $c_2$ are any real constants.
  4. $E[g_1(x)]\leq E[g_2(x)]$, provied $g_1(x)\leq g_2(x)~ \forall x\in R$.
  5. If $g(x)=x$ then $E[g(x)]=E[X]$ is the mean of $X$.
  6. If $g(x)=(x-\mu_x)^2$, then $E[g(x)]=var[X]$.
  7. If $g(x)=(x-\mu_x)^r$, then $E[g(x)]=\mu_r$, which is the rth moment about the mean $\mu_r^{'}$
  8. If $g(x)=(x-a)^r$, then $E[g(x)]=\mu_r^{'}$, which is rth moment about the point $x=a$.
  9. If $g(x)=x^r$, then $E[g(x)]=E[X^2]=\mu_r^{'}$ which is the rth moment about the point $x=0$.
Example 1. The function $$f(x)=ae^{-\alpha x}.I_{(0, \infty)}, \alpha >0$$ is a p.d.f.

Solution: Consider $$\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} f(x) dx = \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} \alpha e^{-\alpha x}. I_{(0, \infty)}dx =\int_0^{\infty}\alpha e^{-\alpha x}dx=\left[ -e^{-\alpha x}\right]_0^{\infty}=-(0-1)=1$$

Hence the given function is a p.d.f.

Example 2. Let X be a continuous random variable with p.d.f $$f(x)=\tau e^{-\tau x} ~ for x\geq 0$$

$$ E[X]=\int_0^{\infty} x.f(x) dx = \int_0^{\infty} x. \tau e^ {-\tau x} dx$$
$$=\tau \left[ \left[ \frac{x. e^{-\tau x}}{-\tau}\right]_0^{\infty} +\frac{1}{\tau} \int_0^ {\infty} e^{-\tau x}dx\right] = \tau [0-\frac{1}{\tau ^2}[e^{-\tau x}]_0^{-\infty}=\frac{1}{\tau}$$
 

Questions for 1st Sem

Topic: Beta and Gamma Function  Q1. Evaluate $\int_0^1 x^4 (1-\sqrt{x})dx$ Q2. Evaluate $\int_0^1 (1-x^3)^{-\frac{1}{2}}dx$ Q3. Show that $\...